Word: marketeers
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Eighteen months ago, when the world was awash in asset bubbles, there was perhaps no market more overheated than commodities. Prices of everything from iron ore to palm oil to corn reached dizzying heights. Crude oil nearly quintupled in five years; rice tripled in only five months. World Bank President Robert Zoellick called rising food and oil prices a "man-made catastrophe" that had the potential to quickly erase years of progress in overcoming poverty. Pundits dusted off Malthusian theories that the planet was physically unable to support the burgeoning appetites of an increasingly wealthy global population...
...reason: demand is recovering, slightly, for some raw materials. In the case of oil, supplies have been reduced by OPEC cutbacks. And commodities traders are bidding up market prices in general on expectations that supply shortages will return with just a modest improvement in demand. That's because miners, farmers and oil drillers, hit by the credit crunch, can't finance investments that would increase their production capacity. Many won't invest today even if they have access to financing because depressed prices make projects uneconomic. The amount of investment in the oil sector, for example, will likely...
Here's the not-so-bad news: We are nearing a bottom. Housing prices are falling, but not as rapidly. Consumer confidence is up. Banks are earning money. The stock market in April had its best month in nine years. Even Nouriel Roubini, the New York University professor known for his dire economic predictions, thinks we are on the mend. Sort...
...depends on what type of recovery we have. Since the market bottomed on March 9, investors have rushed into acquiring shares of financial companies, retailers and technology firms. That makes sense if you believe we will have a recovery like the ones we've had in recent history. Companies in those industries did well in the market rallies that followed recessions in the 1990s and the early part of this decade. And stocks handily outperformed bonds...
...project. The store's fourth-generation owner, George Lammers, notes that after subtropical Gitmo, the dry, wintry high plains "would be torture for some of those boys." He adds, "I think it would be great for all the law-enforcement people to be here. It would help our housing market. Our city fathers wanted the economic benefits, but I guess they didn't foresee the political controversies...