Word: markets
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...share of both has been in steady decline since peaking in the early '70s. (In 1970, more than 50% of the world's graduate degrees in science and engineering were issued by U.S. universities.) Since the mid-'80s, a long progression of doomsayers have warned that our declining market share in the patents-and-Ph.D.s business augurs dark times for American innovation. The specific threats have changed. It was the Japanese who would destroy us in the '80s; now it's China and India...
...slump faced by U.S. and European automakers has encouraged Chinese companies - buoyed by China's ranking as the world's largest car market in the first quarter of 2009 - to hunt for buyout candidates overseas. "It's definitely a good time to buy Hummer," says Liu Chang of Sinomind Management Consulting in Beijing. "GM wouldn't sell it if it was in better shape." But China's previous results from acquisitions of foreign automakers have been poor. In 2004, Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp. paid $500 million for a 49% stake in South Korea's Ssangyong Motors, which declared bankruptcy...
...large SUVs have a certain cache, but with high taxes on imports, there is little demand. "To drive a Hummer, for rich people it fulfills a certain dream," says Yale Zhang, a Shanghai-based analyst with CSM Worldwide, an auto-industry consulting firm. "In China, it's a niche market for sure. It's too big; it consumes too much gasoline. The price is very high, and very few people can afford it." The H3, the most popular Hummer, averages 15 miles...
...SUVs that did sell well in China last year were only popular in sizes not much larger than ordinary sedans. That may influence the design of future Hummers. "I expect that after the deal, Hummer would be much better tailored to the Chinese market," says Liu. "If anything, its price might be much lower and more acceptable to the Chinese consumer...
...prices perfectly. Relying heavily on this dataset and acting according to the outputs of the models would change economic parameters so that the original assumptions are no longer valid.“Unlike in the physical sciences, where with enough data you can learn what the truth is, in markets the truth is moving around a little bit,” Stein says.In a fundamentally uncertain world, placing too much faith in predictions, no matter how sophisticated, can be a mistake.“[People] think of us as having much better forecasting skills than we really do have...