Word: markets
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...first thing to watch for is the S&P 500 to trade flat for three months. While it continues to move down, investors are expecting two or three more quarters of bad earnings. If it spikes up too early, a rally probably cannot be sustained. A flat market at least indicates that investors are becoming more at ease with the economy...
...drops of over 45% compared with last year. It may take a year or more for those numbers to settle at drops of closer to 10% to 20%. But, if U.S. vehicle sales stay steady at 25% to 30% down, the consumer is beginning to tiptoe back into the market. The likely cause for this is that extraordinary deals on new cars are becoming attractive to buyers who have cut their debt and can afford to make a modest investment based on very attractive interest rates helped by capital put into the banks by the government. Low fuel prices will...
...world, with America blocking the inflow of Chinese goods and China flailing back by throttling its appetite for Treasuries. Without the ability to borrow money at reasonable rates any hope of continuing to stimulate the U.S. economy would flag and China's manufacturing machine would lose its largest market...
...Overnight futures trading suggested that Wall Street would open to less bearish trading than the sell-off that fueled its 4.24% loss Monday. But observers warned against looking to daily, weekly, or even monthly market activity for signs of where they or the stocks traded on them are headed. The reason? First off, if the selling frenzies that sent indices plunging by roughly 50% over the past year were initially driven by fears of possible collapse of global finance markets, that panic is now mostly being inspired by the world's dismal economic outlook. Because of that, many experts...
...that reason, economist Touati says it's virtually impossible to make any credible market forecasts until investors and traders swap panicked reaction for their usual economic analysis and anticipation. When might that happen? Possibly sometime between spring and early summer, when the first signs of modestly positive economic data is expected...