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...stock market is up nearly 50%. Many bulls say there are hundreds of billions of dollars sitting on the sidelines that will come in, pushing the market higher. Do you agree? We've been through a secular bear market that really began in 2000. Adjusted for inflation, the S&P 500 is down 65% since then. We've been through the worst 10-year period of stock returns on the S&P in the history of American equities. But I think we saw the bottom of the secular bear market [at the March lows]. My view is that the money...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why an Investment Guru Is Bullish on Recovery | 8/13/2009 | See Source »

...bottom in March, does that mean better times are ahead? Just because we made the bottom of a secular bear market doesn't mean we're in a new bull market. The history is that when you make the bottom of a secular bear market, in almost every situation, there has been a huge rally followed by a long period of churning back and forth in a big, broad trading range, anywhere from three to - in the case of Japan - 18 to 20 years. As for the rally, the usual rebound rally after one of these things is 71% over...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why an Investment Guru Is Bullish on Recovery | 8/13/2009 | See Source »

Sort of like the '60s and '70s, when the stock market really went nowhere. Is that what we might be headed for longer term? Yes, exactly. That bull market really peaked in 1965 or 1966 and then it churned back and forth - and inflation ravaged it, even though the nominal prices didn't collapse as much. But the Dow Jones average didn't set a new high until...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why an Investment Guru Is Bullish on Recovery | 8/13/2009 | See Source »

...operations once the economy rebounds. But analysts say that may be difficult because the industry has yet to solve a basic problem: too many airlines flying too many flights in a country that, despite its economic growth, is relatively poor. India's airlines are now crowding into the budget market, just as they crowded into regular and premium air travel services a few years ago. "With everybody fighting for the same piece of business, this could once again create overcapacity and fuel fare wars," says Ankur Bhatia, executive director of Bird Group, a New Delhi company that provides technology...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: India's Airline Industry Goes From Boom to Bust | 8/12/2009 | See Source »

After I left Pyongyang, I began searching for a journalist willing to pose as a chocolate consultant. Eventually I found Antoine Dreyfus, a reporter for a French weekly. He would travel to North Korea under the pretext of doing a market study for the confectionary industry. I would return to Pyongyang with him, playing his assistant with a background in product marketing...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Journey to North Korea, Part III: NoKo Chocolate Factory | 8/12/2009 | See Source »

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