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...there are important differences between the two that may result in different outcomes. In Iran, the catalyst was the charge that the authorities had stolen an election that the opposition believes Mousavi won; the Chinese protestors had no history of voting in competitive elections and were mobilized by the death of Hu Yaobang, a reformist member of the communist leadership. China used maximum force relatively early; it contained the challenge within seven weeks. Iran's regime is losing momentum after seven months; demonstrations late last month spread to at least 10 major cities. China banned the foreign press and tightly...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iran's Regime and Opposition Brace for the Next Round | 1/4/2010 | See Source »

...more public show in his Persian New Year message, respectfully addressed to the regime. But the turmoil unleashed by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's contested re-election on June 12 prompted the regime to circle the wagons against alleged "Western plots," imperiling hopes for diplomatic rapprochement. Critics may have chided Obama for declining to grandstand in support of the Iranian opposition, but he has maintained the key demand of the Bush Administration in his approach to Tehran: that Iran halt and then relinquish its uranium-enrichment program. The Iranians refused to do that for Bush, and they are united across...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Obama Defaulted to Bush Foreign Policy Positions | 1/4/2010 | See Source »

...China: Any hawkish ideas that the Bush Administration may have harbored about aggressively "containing" China went down with the U.S. spy plane that collided with a Chinese fighter off Hainan Island barely two months into the Bush presidency. The resulting standoff reminded both sides that their economic relationship was far too important to allow a little geopolitical competition to get in the way, and that same economic relationship - with an ascendant China now bankrolling much of a trillion-dollar U.S. budget deficit - continues to shape the relationship under Obama. Sure, Obama's realpolitik has seen him refrain from some...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Obama Defaulted to Bush Foreign Policy Positions | 1/4/2010 | See Source »

...terror" front there. But it's a complicated country that many analysts warn would be antagonized by a high-profile U.S. presence - just as Western troops in Afghanistan have spawned the Taliban revival. How the new Administration handles the challenge of al-Qaeda in Yemen may be an important indicator of what it has learned from Bush's experience in Afghanistan...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Obama Defaulted to Bush Foreign Policy Positions | 1/4/2010 | See Source »

...Chinese model of using all-out force against a budding opposition movement, as used in Beijing's Tiananmen Square in 1989, may not be as effective in the Islamic Republic of 2010. The two country's systems and societies have more differences than similarities. Yet the regime nonetheless appears intent on employing tactics normally reserved for foreign threats. On Dec. 28, the security forces for the first time fired directly into crowds of protesters as the Shi'ite Ashura religious commemoration turned into the biggest nationwide demonstration since unrest erupted after the disputed June 12 election. Hundreds of activists, students...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iran's Regime and Opposition Brace for the Next Round | 1/4/2010 | See Source »

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