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...Republican nominee were not John McCain, Democrats would have long ago started making a big play for Arizona, which, like its Western neighbors, has been tilting Democratic. Obama is ahead in Nevada by 6.2 percentage points, in New Mexico by 7.3 and in Colorado by 5.5. Yet after trailing by as much as 20 points this summer, Obama now finds himself down in McCain's home state by just 3.5 points - an average of Arizona polls that show Obama down as little as 1 point or as much as 5. Which is why the Obama campaign announced late last week...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

There are many observers who don't buy Plouffe's spin. They view the move into McCain's home turf as simply a tactical way to bait him to spend precious time and resources in the last few days, all the while boosting the aura of inevitability around Obama. And the Democratic nominee can certainly afford it. But Arizona Democrats insist they truly do have a legitimate shot at winning here. "Obama has taken us up to the 30-yard line. Now it's our job to get the field goal," says Maria Weeg, executive director of the Arizona Democratic...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

...pictures of John McCain's final push on the campaign trail...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

...Dems' volunteer office in Cottonwood is an example of how far grass-roots Democrats have come, virtually on their own. McCain likes to say that his ranch is in Sedona, a liberal bastion that sent an Obama delegate to the Democratic National Convention and will more than likely go for Obama on Election Day. But his homestead is actually in a little town 8 miles from Sedona called Cornville, in Yavapai County. Until recently, it was hard to imagine Yavapai, an old blue collar farming and mill town that used to supply the nearby copper mines, ever voting...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

Republican National Committee spokesman Danny Diaz scoffs at the idea that McCain could ever lose Arizona, calling it "unreasonable, irrational and fanciful." McCain won re-election in 2004 with nearly 77% of the vote, and President Bush expanded his own win in Arizona from 51% in 2000 to 55% in 2004. Obama is "entitled to waste resources" in Arizona, Diaz says, but "there's virtually no chance of him carrying the state...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Arizona Is Not a Lock for McCain | 11/3/2008 | See Source »

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