Word: mcgoverns
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...Gore beat Bill Bradley in 2000, and John Kerry beat Howard Dean in 2004--all by winning big among the Budweiser set. If Obama wins the nomination, he'll have done so with the most upscale coalition since Michael Dukakis' in 1988 or maybe even George McGovern's in 1972. Both Dukakis and McGovern got trounced in November; if Obama becomes the nominee, will liquor impair the Democrats once again...
Probably not. One reason is changing demographics. Minorities and upscale professionals--the Obama coalition--constitute a much larger share of the population than they did several decades ago. In 1972 blacks, Hispanics and Asians composed 10% of the American electorate; by 2006 they were 21%. When McGovern won these groups, it barely made a dent. But if Obama does--and with Hispanics trending hard toward the Democrats, he probably will--he'll get a much bigger boost. The other half of Obama's coalition--college-educated whites--has also been growing fast. As John Judis and Ruy Teixeira noted...
...state's legendary progressives have gathered under the old pecan trees to weep in their beer and berate conservative Democrats and, later in the state's history, Republicans. It is the spot where in 1972, back in the days when they were anti-establishment foot soldiers in the George McGovern campaign, the young, long-haired Bill Clinton and his bespectacled law student wife Hillary drank beer and talked passionately about politics. Almost four decades later, many of their friends will be amongst the Democratic power players who get one of the exclusive seats at the debate nearby...
...McGovern added that despite the improvements in overall scores, not enough progress has been made on closing the achievement gap between white and minority students...
...When young people get involved, they tend to stay involved. The graybeards of today's Democratic Party were once the inspired youth of the New Frontier, or Clean for Gene McCarthy, or bell-bottomed foot soldiers for George McGovern. Scan the crowd at an Obama rally, squint, and you just might see the future. For the moment, it's enough for young Obama supporters to feel that they are part of something big and historic. "I am a believer that change can happen," says Patricia Griffin, 25, a student at St. Louis Community College. "So-called Washington experience has given...