Word: mcinturff
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...same time, campaign aides laid out benchmarks for success. "I outlined the campaign this way: We need to be tied before the conventions; we were," says Bill McInturff, McCain's top pollster. "We need to be ahead after our convention; we were. We need to be roughly tied at the debates." After that, however, McInturff told his candidate, the campaign was a "black hole...
...campaign is trying to regain its footing once again. The first part of the "black hole" that McInturff predicted has turned out to contain - at least initially - a nosedive in the polls for McCain. He now trails in several swing states where he led after his convention, and has relinquished some gains he had made with independents and women voters. Like so many times before, McCain finds himself in a crisis situation, facing an uphill battle for the prize he has always sought. This is his political comfort zone. The betting money says he will make a bold move...
...Over the past year we also had the Social Security debate, in which they didn't support the President's proposal," G.O.P. pollster Bill McInturff says of seniors. "We had $3-a-gal. gasoline for this price-sensitive constituency. And they were concerned about the war in Iraq. So there's been a lot of stuff going on that's making them pretty riled...
...Internet as a particularly important new political tool. The survey also identified the 18-24 demographic as particularly religious, with more than one-third of respondents identifying as born-again Christians. “Religious affiliation is almost the best predictor of partisanship,” said Bill McInturff, who was a pollster for the 2000 presidential campaign of Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz. Other panelists included Diane Felsman, who worked as a pollster for the 2004 presidential campaign of Sen. John F. Kerry, D-Mass., and John de la Volpe, who was the survey’s senior adviser...
...step down to fight indictments for money laundering, and Senate majority leader Bill Frist is under investigation for possible insider trading. The party's ambitious comers are not running as Bush's allies and heirs, and the 2006 campaign promises to be an epic battle. G.O.P. pollster Bill McInturff says the percentage of people who define themselves as "very interested" in the 2006 elections is already at 57%, compared with 39% in October 2002, a month before those midterm elections. History is certainly not on Bush's side. Since 1966, if a President's approval rating dipped below...