Word: mellone
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...impossible for us to become sharper risk handicappers. For one thing, we can take the time to learn more about the real odds. Baruch Fischhoff, professor of social and decision sciences at Carnegie Mellon University, recently asked a panel of 20 communications and finance experts what they thought the likelihood of human-to-human transmission of avian flu would be in the next three years. They put the figure at 60%. He then asked a panel of 20 medical experts the same question. Their answer: 10%. "There's reason to be critical of experts," Fischhoff says, "but not to replace...
Although generally held in high esteem, Schama—former Mellon professor of the social sciences and Kenan professor of the humanities at Harvard until 1993—has intermittently come under fire for some of his more esoteric projects. The fallout from his bizarre 1991 speculative murder history, “Dead Certainties,” may have kept some readers away from his 1995 interdisciplinary masterpiece, “Landscape and Memory...
...victim of what he called a “common pathology,” with answer sets that aren’t exhaustive or don’t correspond to actual responses. As the basis for their own survey, the principal investigators looked at previous surveys, including the Mellon Foundation’s deacde-old study, “College and Beyond,” long considered a seminal work. College and Beyond targeted 34 selective colleges, but Harvard did not take part. Goldin and Katz’s study analyzes a wider range of cohorts than...
...than from working on the road crew,” said Gale Mosteller. “A clear incentive to learn the odds and play well.”In college Mosteller became even more interested in probability when he met a math professor, Edwin G. Olds, at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU), where he earned his bachelor’s and master’s in mathematics. Mosteller later went on to receive his doctorate in mathematics from Princeton University.During his sophomore year at CMU, Mosteller encountered a question in one of his classes that would propel him towards...
...your hand at peace in the Middle East. In May Carnegie Mellon students won the University of Southern California's Public Diplomacy Contest for PeaceMaker, which challenges you to create a stable resolution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The game--where players pick which of the two countries they want to run--will be available for download at peacemakergame.com by year's end, for a price that has yet to be determined...