Word: might
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Dates: during 1970-1979
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...investors up close to 16%, making stock ownership on borrowed money extremely expensive, but it had a sharp psychological effect on the market. That was quickly compounded when Chase Manhattan President Willard Butcher, told a New Orleans press conference that the money markets were in such turmoil that banks might soon wind up having to recalculate their prime rates, "from 9 in the morning to 3 in the afternoon...
...understand this economy and sometimes I don't," laments Okun, senior fellow of the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C. "I was dead wrong," he admits, in expecting unemployment to go up in September. Instead it dropped, indicating that the economy was far more resistant to a downturn that might check price boosts than had been supposed. Consequently, though Okun is usually vehemently opposed to a policy of relying primarily on money-supply policy to combat inflation, he proclaims himself "not horrified" by Volcker's actions. Okun fears that "interest rates could become so unstable...
...control of the money supply, he asserts, is preferable. But Weidenbaum cautions that there is "no guarantee" the new policy can bring down inflation, while in his mind it produces "more certainty" of a recession. Weidenbaum had thought the recession would last through next spring; now he feels it might drag on through next summer...
JOSEPH PECHMAN: "Volcker is headed in the right direction," says the director of economic studies at Brookings. But Pechman fears the move will increase chances that the recession will be longer and deeper than expected. He says that "unemployment will hit 8% sooner than expected" and might go even higher. To curb inflation without pressing down too hard on the economy, Pechman wishes that the Carter Administration would institute a more vigorous wage-price policy to supplement the Federal Reserve moves. Says he: "We ought to try, somehow, to have business and labor moderate their price and wage demands...
Though the Carter Administration lad earlier claimed that SALT should be judged on its own merits, the White House was clearly linking the pact to NATO concerns last week. If the treaty is rejected, Administration spokesmen declared, Western Europe might face the breakdown of NATO and eventual "Finlandization," as its members seek private accommodations with the Soviet Union. Warned Delaware Democrat Joe Biden, a leading pro-SALT Senator: "Our NATO allies have had their confidence shaken by our slow response to the energy crisis, by the decline of the dollar, and by what they perceive as American foreign policy setbacks...