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...real economic trouble. Most economists now believe the U.S. is either already - or soon will be - in its first recession since 2001, and that this one could be a doozy. "The asset bubbles underpinning the US economy have started to unwind the other way," says Stephen Roach, Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia. "This recession was triggered by the bursting of the housing bubble and the bursting of the credit bubble and those developments will run their course [even with the rate cuts...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: World Markets Catch a US Cold | 1/23/2008 | See Source »

...United States. But developing nations have been anything but safe havens in the recent turmoil, indicating that the decoupling theory will now be tested with a vengeance. "There's no question the slump in the US will have hurt [Asia's] exports," says Shanghai-based economist Andy Xie. Morgan Stanley's Roach believes decoupling is "one of those nice theories you hear at the top of market bubbles." The fact is, Roach argues, "that Asian consumers are too small to make up for the void created by U.S. consumption...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: World Markets Catch a US Cold | 1/23/2008 | See Source »

...long? Economists at Morgan Stanley believe the Fed rate cuts - past and future - are part of what it calls the "Great Global Monetary Easing of 2008," which will begin to spur a new round of worldwide growth next year. But getting from here to there is going to be painful. Demand for everything from iron ore mined in western Australia to toys manufactured in southeastern China is already slowing, because for the first time in decade, the "key driver of the global economy, the U.S. consumer, seems to have finally thrown in the towel," says Xie. If that's true...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: World Markets Catch a US Cold | 1/23/2008 | See Source »

What have you been most surprised to learn about yourself in the last five years? John Morgan, Austin, TexasThere's been no great revelation to me. Thank God that I haven't had to have any horrible things happen to me. And I hope I never do. [To the sky] If you're listening...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: 10 Questions for Woody Allen | 1/17/2008 | See Source »

...what financial institution you’re going to work for. Wait, what? You’re a sophomore. (The counselor looks worried.) Oh dear. Well. I see. I...I’m sorry, I have to take a moment to collect myself. (Drinks deeply from a J.P. Morgan Nalgene bottle). Whew. Okay, here we go. Now, let me look at your resume. It seems that last summer, you did something called “WorldTeach.” I don’t suppose that was a bank of some sort? (You shake your head.) Strategy consulting firm...

Author: By M. AIDAN Kelly, CRIMSON STAFF WRITER | Title: OCS Counseling Session for Souls | 1/17/2008 | See Source »

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