Word: mubarak
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...flawless, it can all still go wrong. In the summer of 1990, for example, CIA's National Intelligence Officer for Warning predicted flatly that Iraq was about to invade Kuwait. George Bush refused to believe it, preferring to accept the personal assurances he had received from Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and other Middle Eastern leaders. In recent years, the agency has produced several full-dress estimates on Yugoslavia. Though the scenarios were correct, says a U.S. official, "they seem to have had almost no impact on policy" -- probably because they offered only unwelcome news. Intelligence can be an important tool...
...Israeli Defense Force plans to enter Lebanon for a week-long siege on Hizballah bases. Egyptian officials believed that if the Israelis went through with such a plan, it would strengthen Arab opposition to the peace talks and derail negotiations. Late Wednesday night Osama El-Baz, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak's troubleshooter and confidant, arrived in Israel with a warning to Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin that the consequences of such an attack would be dire. By the end of the week, the threat seemed to have been headed...
Could Egypt be going the way of Iran? That question will be on the mind of both Bill Clinton and Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak when the two men meet in Washington this week. Though fundamentalists are at odds with all the secular Arab governments of North Africa, the Middle East and the Persian Gulf, Mubarak is a special target. His country has not only made a separate peace with the archenemy, Israel, but has also joined the Western alliance in the Gulf War and continues to work closely with...
Radicals of Egypt's Islamic Group would like to do to Mubarak what their fanatic brothers did to the Shah of Iran: topple him and install a purely Islamic government. They even have their own Ayatullah equivalent: Sheik Omar Abdel-Rahman, the blind Egyptian cleric who calls passionately for Mubarak's overthrow from mosques in the U.S., including the one in New Jersey where some of the suspects in the bombing of the World Trade Center worshipped...
...spite of the rising violence, Mubarak confidently asserts that he does not consider the Islamists a serious threat to his government. "The situation is not that unstable," he told TIME's Cairo bureau chief Dean Fischer last week. Radical Muslims who oppose peace between Arabs and Israelis, Mubarak is convinced, are working to bring down his government. He is certain they are directed from Iran. "There is no doubt," he said. "The Iranians have said that if they could change the Egyptian regime, they would control the whole area." He says fundamentalists recruited from several Arab countries are being trained...