Word: mulvenon
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...Chen wins, he will have a clearer mandate. This would put Washington in a tight spot. China, a nuclear power, has vowed to block independence by force if necessary, and the U.S. could not stand idly by if that happened. "The possibility of escalation over Taiwan," says James Mulvenon, an analyst at the Rand Corp., "is higher than over North Korea...
...Bush famously took measure of Putin's soul and called him a man he could trust. Yet Putin is the elected leader of a newly democratic nation. Jiang, for all his cooperation, presides over a communist country that has thousands of political prisoners. "Crawford is for friends," says James Mulvenon of U.S. research institute Rand. "Many would find the symbolism of that visit hard to justify...
...reaction on either side, prompting speculation among China watchers as to why Jiang, who aggressively vied to win diplomatic concessions after the Sino-U.S. spy-plane incident last spring, has kept this one under wraps. "I'm interested in the dog that didn't bark here," says James Mulvenon, a China analyst at Rand Corp. "Both sides want the trip to go well so badly that they're willing to weather this storm...