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...news for Republicans now? George W. Bush is trailing Al Gore by 8 points in a recent statewide poll. And polls show McCollum trailing his Democratic opponent, Florida insurance commissioner Bill Nelson, by 11 points in the Senate race. McCollum, 56, whose role as a prosecutor in President Clinton's impeachment trial sharpened his image as a partisan pit bull, is barnstorming Jacksonville homeless shelters and African-American churches in his Orlando district insisting that the more moderate conservative "is who I really am." Panic hasn't set in yet; but Nelson bets that "this is where the Republican jihad...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Sunshine Bellwether | 9/18/2000 | See Source »

Florida, where Gore was probably best known for his Elian Gonzalez gaffe, is in play after all. At the heart of the struggle is the McCollum-Nelson contest. It could determine nothing less than whether Democrats can thwart Republican hegemony in a burgeoning, bellwether state that has the nation's fourth largest number of electoral votes (25) and help Gore pull off a coup against the Bush dynasty that might tip the presidential race...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Sunshine Bellwether | 9/18/2000 | See Source »

...question is how Nelson and the tropical Dems got to be competitive at all this year. Given that Florida is a demographic postcard of 21st century America-- "More a crowd than a community," state Democratic leader Buddy MacKay once quipped--the answer says a lot about where the nation's politics is headed. Florida has a long tradition of diffusing power among its chaotic grid of ethnic and social groups, making its voters perhaps the country's most pragmatic--the first hypercentrist electorate. Jeb Bush found that out when he ran an ideological campaign in 1994 and lost, then...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Sunshine Bellwether | 9/18/2000 | See Source »

...McCollum, a former Navy lawyer, says Nelson "is painting me as something I'm not. I am a moderate, Jeb Bush-Connie Mack Republican," he says, "and I couldn't have been elected to the House 10 times in Florida if I wasn't." But state G.O.P. leaders privately concede that McCollum was not the center-right candidate Jeb Bush had hoped for. Still, though his record is inked with fights against the Brady gun-control bills, McCollum has a lesser-known reputation as a bipartisan legislator, working with Florida's Democratic Senator Bob Graham to fund major new antidrug...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Sunshine Bellwether | 9/11/2000 | See Source »

...Expect this one to get nasty. McCollum is already painting Nelson as a "Clinton clone," and pols who have faced Nelson before insist that he "likes close fighting with a dull knife," says a G.O.P. leader. Both candidates estimate they'll need more than $10 million to win--especially Nelson, who recently jetted around the peninsula with Clinton in Air Force One. Democratic insiders say Clinton has a keen interest in this race--namely, revenge against McCollum--which means McCollum may be the only politician this year to have a bigger Clinton problem than Al Gore...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Sunshine Bellwether | 9/11/2000 | See Source »

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