Word: nepad
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...doesn't Mbeki lower the boom on his dictatorial northern counterpart? The answer probably lies in Mbeki's greater plan for African solidarity, as espoused in the New Partnership for Africa's Development drawn up by him and other African leaders from Nigeria, Senegal, Eygpt and Algeria. NEPAD involves a "peer review" process to censure, possibly even intervene in, states that do not practice good governance. But Mbeki is not prepared to take such action unilaterally...
...observers, the report on the election by the South African team will become an important assessment of "free and fair." And pressure is building on Mbeki not only from Britain, the Commonwealth and the European Union, but also from SADC and other African leaders who, in keeping with the NEPAD principles, are anxious to establish their continental credibility. That will make it difficult for the South African observers to come up with a whitewash, as they did in Zimbabwe's 2000 general election...
Whatever the result, Mbeki will not act hurriedly. The least that can be expected is that, if Mugabe is returned, even under dubious circumstances, Mbeki will continue his quiet diplomacy, and he and other African leaders from the nepad initiative will maintain their steady pressure. That, more than hectoring from abroad, might even persuade Zimbabwe's head of state - one of the last of the colonial-era African nationalists - that a graceful retirement while in power is a better option than being censured out of office by his African peers...