Word: nevada
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...factors paled next to Clinton's perceived strengths on the issue that has suddenly rocketed to the top of voters' concerns nationally - the economy. Clinton won 51% of the overall vote to Obama's 45% and Edwards' embarrassingly low 4%. (Mitt Romney won the GOP caucuses easily, capitalizing on Nevada's sizeable Mormon population and the fact that none of his Republican opponents made more than a token effort in the Silver State.) Roughly 100,000 voters participated in caucuses that were moved forward in the primary calendar specifically to give a western state a say in determining who would...
Among those that did caucus, fully half named the economy as their top concern. This abrupt change in the winds may well be good news for Clinton; her association with the days when her husband oversaw strong economic growth (and her husband was a heavy presence in Nevada), as well as her willingness to speak in more detailed policy terms than Obama, give her an advantage over her opponents among those concerned about the economy...
Clinton's apparently huge advantage among Nevada's Hispanic voters also bodes well for her, as the campaign moves toward the states that hold primaries on Mega Tuesday (the stakes are so high that it's outgrown Super), Feb. 5. Many of the biggest prizes - including California, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, New York and New Jersey - have sizeable Hispanic voting blocs...
...before then. The first, South Carolina, is a must win for Obama. African Americans make up roughly 50% of Democratic primary voters in the Palmetto State, and they have been massing to Obama's side in the days since his historic victory in the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses. (In Nevada, entrance polling indicates Obama won 80% of the fairly small black vote.) In the largely symbolic Michigan primary earlier in the week, 75% of African Americans cast their votes for "uncommitted" because Obama was not on the ballot. "You have to assume we lose South Carolina," says a Clinton strategist...
Despite her surprise triumph in Nevada, the Clinton campaign remains convinced that the nomination battle with Obama will drag on for weeks as each side fights to accumulate delegates. If there's still no clear Democratic winner by Feb. 6?and it looks increasingly likely, given that none of the Feb. 5 contests award a winner all of a state's delegates?the nomination battle could drag on through March, when Ohio and Texas hold their primaries, or even until April 22, when Pennsylvania holds its primary. And if the race is still undecided come May, the Clinton campaign will...