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...theory that the unemployment rate will never go back to 5.5% is wrong. It is wrong because the American imagination for creating new large industries has not disappeared. It is wrong because the new economy in the United States will include a large number of manufacturing jobs paying wages which are historically low. It is easy to say that manufacturing can never prosper in America because the fixed prices for labor are too high. The recession has broken the grip of expensive labor. Manufacturing can and will return to the United States. American workers will work on assembly lines. They...
Wall Street's number crunchers are happy. Stock technicians, who use mathematical formulas as well as charts and historical data to figure out where share prices are headed, believe the market's rally that started in early March, and has pushed stocks up 36% in less than two months, is here to stay. They say stocks will rise another 10%, before the market stalls. That would leave the Dow Jones Industrial Average at around 9,200, or about where it was in early October, just after the initial $700 billion bank rescue plan was passed by Congress, though still well...
...factors making technicians ebullient is that the number of stocks going up recently far outnumbers the number of stocks sinking. Last week, for instance, nearly 2,165 New York Stock Exchange traded stocks rose, while only 1,009 fell. Market technicians say that is good sign for shares because it means investors are optimistic about the fortunes of a broad range of companies and not just one sector of the market. Technicians also like the fact that historically most rallies last much longer than two months, and that the market hit its low twice, before rebounding. In the past...
...from 11 at beginning of March. That means stocks are relatively cheap compared to an average of the past two decades of about 20, but nearly as much of a bargain as they were when the rally started. Still, followers of technical analysis say there are a number of reasons to be bullish now. First of all, while stocks are up, they are still much lower than they have been recently. The percentage of stocks above their 200 day moving average, which is a sign they they could be overvalued, is just 30%. Back in 2007, when the market peaked...
...tried to be out with the media as much as possible, to be able to share the information. And I think it's been an effective approach because people are turning to us for information. We have more than 87 million hits on our website. I think we were number 17 on YouTube over the weekend with over a million views and we're tweeting. I think that's it - I always get that term wrong. I think there is, every few seconds, a tweet on this topic. It's clear that, if you can give people something...