Word: nvr
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...Apple, but no Microsoft. The Boston Beer Company makes an appearance, but not market leader Anheuser-Busch. Tractor Supply lands on the list; Wal-Mart doesn't. Even with the economic crisis, a number of financial firms show up, including asset manager Blackrock, regional bank Iberiabank and homebuilder NVR (parent of Ryan Homes). The decade's best industry: oil and natural gas. A full 34 companies - 17% of the list - either drill, transport, refine or sell the stuff. (See the worst business deals...
Virtually all of the builders, with the exception of NVR Inc., are expected to continue posting losses through 2010 and are not expected to report a significant rebound in earnings and home prices until 2011 or possibly 2012 at the earliest, says George. Also, the federal tax credit, if not extended, will expire on Nov. 30, which could slow the housing recovery further...
...Imagine that. He started buying Beazer at $8 a share and has held on while it soared to $69; Centex at $10, now $68; Meritage at $3, now $59; NVR at $60, now $759; Pulte at $5, now $37; Toll Bros. at $10, now $32. ?They?re still dirt cheap,? Muhlenkamp told TIME...
MUHLENKAMP: Just about all of them: Centex, Meritage, NVR, Lennar. If I had to pick today, it would be Centex and Meritage. In the past 10 years, market share of the 10 largest builders has gone from 10% to 20%. I don't see anything to keep it from going to 40%, which means they have another decade...
...smartest plays are "adult toys," says Ron Muhlenkamp, manager of the $750 million Muhlenkamp Fund. He owns stock of the recreational vehicle manufacturer Winnebago, which is a play on the second-home trend. For the same reason, he also holds shares of homebuilders Toll Bros., Meritage, Centex, NVR and Beazer Homes. Harley-Davidson is on his radar, though he considers the stock overpriced. Muhlenkamp, 58, who bought his first new Harley when he was 49, notes that many new Harley purchasers are in their late 50s. The average age is 46. A lot of folks want one after they finish...