Word: ohio
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...while it was undoubtedly a good night for Clinton, her opponent could take comfort in the results as well. Six weeks ago, when both candidates turned their attention to this contest, Obama had just gotten thumped in Ohio, a state with an open primary and demographics that are actually somewhat friendlier (younger, more black) for him than Pennsylvania. Obama trailed Clinton by an average of 18 points in Pennsylvania polls at the time. And that was before the toughest six weeks he has endured thus far in the campaign, before Jeremiah Wright and the Tony Rezko trial, before "bitter...
...Obama collapse of the sort Clinton needs to gain the nomination was ever going to happen, it was in that month and a half between Ohio and Pennsylvania. Yet despite increased criticism and scrutiny, Obama has expanded his lead over Clinton in national polls. He cut her margin in Pennsylvania down to 10 points, and he actually improved his performance from Ohio in the demographic groups he needed to demonstrate he could win: voters with no college education or those over 65, white men, those making less than $50,000, and self-described conservatives...
...decades, the Democratic Party has been slowly losing white working-class voters. In 2004, President Bush beat John Kerry by 34 electoral votes, clinching the key battleground in Ohio. Even a tiny shift among white working-class voters could have changed the outcome...
...This article contains a table. Please see hardcopy of magazine.] STATE (ELECTORAL VOTES) WHITE WORKING-CLASS VOTERS STATEWIDE WINNER (MARGIN OF VICTORY) Wisconsin (10) 64% Kerry (0.4%) Iowa (7) 70% Bush (0.9%) New Mexico (5) 34% Bush (1.1%) New Hampshire (4) 60% Kerry (1.4%) Pennsylvania (21) 56% Kerry (2.3%) Ohio (20) 60% Bush (2.5%) Nevada (5) 56% Bush (2.6%) Michigan (17) 59% Kerry (3.4%) Minnesota (10) 58% Kerry (3.5%) Oregon (7) 64% Kerry...
...election in much the same way that Obama (and Hillary Clinton) does. He wants to have a substantive debate about the war, he believes that climate change is a major issue, and he has begun to acknowledge the economic pain visited upon manufacturing workers in places like Michigan and Ohio. If he persists in seeing the election this way and running on his convictions, he will be doing the Democrats - and the nation - a great favor...