Word: oiling
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...firms themselves are already moving away from retail research. Thomas White International, which created a research consortium with four other firms to win settlement dollars, will go back to its main business of managing assets for institutional investors. Ross Smith Energy Group, a Canadian outfit that follows the oil and gas industries, is getting into investment banking. Three companies-Argus, Independent International Investment Research and Pipal Research-have joined with the London Stock Exchange to provide coverage of smaller firms willing to pay for it. Rapid Ratings is finding a hearty new revenue stream in doing analysis for companies that...
Eighteen months ago, when the world was awash in asset bubbles, there was perhaps no market more overheated than commodities. Prices of everything from iron ore to palm oil to corn reached dizzying heights. Crude oil nearly quintupled in five years; rice tripled in only five months. World Bank President Robert Zoellick called rising food and oil prices a "man-made catastrophe" that had the potential to quickly erase years of progress in overcoming poverty. Protests and riots over high prices for necessities erupted across the developing world. Pundits dusted off Malthusian theories that the planet was physically unable...
...goods. The Dow Jones-AIG commodity price index has shed more than half its value since mid-2008. Due to falling metal prices, BHP Billiton in January announced the mothballing of an Australian nickel mine only eight months after it officially opened. The most visible turnaround has been in oil. A year ago, Western governments were pleading with Persian Gulf oil states to ramp up production as oil sped toward $150 a barrel; today, OPEC is twisting off the spigot in an attempt to support crude prices around $50. The International Energy Agency expects oil demand to fall this year...
...over the last several months, something funny has been happening in the commodities trade. After spectacular plunges, the prices of oil, copper, palm oil and others are rallying. This shouldn't be happening given the parlous state of the world economy. The International Monetary Fund this week cut its global growth forecast for 2009, predicting GDP would contract by 1.3%, the most severe recession since the 1930s. Yet oil is some 50% more expensive now than in December. Palm oil, which is used in a wide variety of manufactured foods, has surged by about 50% this year. "The only area...
...prices rising for some commodities now, in the middle of the worst recession in decades? The answer: demand is recovering, slightly, for some raw materials. In the case of oil, supplies have been reduced by OPEC cutbacks. And commodities traders are bidding up market prices in general on expectations that supply shortages will return with just a modest improvement in demand...