Word: oils
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Dates: during 1970-1979
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While OPEC becomes richer, the rest of the world will grow poorer. For example, suppose oil hits $30 before the end of next year. Instead of a projected balance of payments surplus in 1980, the U.S. could wind up with a deficit of $15 billion, further weakening the dollar.* Overall, the combined balance of payments deficit for all industrial nations would climb from this year's $16 billion to perhaps as much as $40 billion in 1980. Developing nations would be hurt worst, since many of them have no exports of real value to count on at all. Their...
...together hold more than $90 billion in U.S. dollars and other U.S. financial assets that will continue to slip in value as the cartel's prices climb. These surplus states probably will not go along with any effort to dump the dollar as the currency of the world oil trade, a move that would undermine the value of the greenbacks they already hold. But Iran and Libya are urging OPEC to switch from dollars to a so-called basket of currencies, which presumably would include German marks, Swiss francs and other Western money, and a fight at next week...
...itself, view the desert kingdom's traditional support for the U.S., and Washington's repeated pleas for maximum OPEC output at the lowest price, as ultimately damaging to the producing states. Anti-American rioting in Iran has made involvement with the U.S. seem even more unwise. Such oil ministers as Iraq's fiery Tayeh Abdul-Karim and the Emirates' Mani Said Utaiba argue that it is stupid to swap valuable and nonrenewable oil for increasingly inflated dollars that Washington might some day freeze anyway, as it has done in the case of Iran...
...will spend some $62 billion on imported oil, an average of $800 per American household...
...hectic trading, the dollar plunged before recovering slightly. Gold, the traditional shelter in troubled times, rose to a record close of $434 per oz. in London, up $52 in five weeks. Traders worried mostly about the volatility of the Iranian confrontation, and they were also troubled by rising oil prices and the slight softening of U.S. interest rates...