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...simply stopping its operation without a formal truce, Israel can claim to have re-established its "deterrent" on future rocket fire without "recognizing" Hamas' authority in Gaza. This option would allow Israel to avoid accepting any new restraints on its actions in Gaza. It would also bypass the need to deploy international forces, a move that would complicate any future offensive. Israel ended its 2002 offensive against militants in Jenin and other West Bank cities on its own terms, choosing where to remain deployed and continuing to raid those cities as deemed necessary. The six-month truce that maintained calm...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How the Gaza War Could End: Three Scenarios | 1/16/2009 | See Source »

...Regime Change Given Israel's long-term goal of ousting Hamas in Gaza, some key military and political leaders have urged that it expand the goals of its current operation and use its momentum to take control of Gaza City and decapitate Hamas. Most vocal in advocating this option is Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu, the hawkish front runner in the race for Prime Minister, who will portray any outcome that leaves Hamas intact in Gaza as a failure - bad news for his chief rivals, Defense Minister Ehud Barak and Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How the Gaza War Could End: Three Scenarios | 1/16/2009 | See Source »

...regime change" option is even reported to have support from Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, who sees it as a way to restore the control over all Palestinian territories of his peace partner, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas. Skeptics, including Barak and Livni, warn that pursuing regime change would require the Israeli military operation to continue for months, risking diplomatic isolation and a dramatic increase in casualties. And the Israeli security establishment is justifiably skeptical of the prospects for reimposing the already enfeebled Abbas on a hostile Gaza. Rather than boost his power, the latest confrontation has further marginalized Abbas. Even...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How the Gaza War Could End: Three Scenarios | 1/16/2009 | See Source »

...Some Israeli reports suggest that halting the offensive without an agreement is the option favored by Livni. And its prospects may be enhanced by the realization that negotiations over a formal cease-fire may take more than 10 days and may, in fact, not be resolved before Israel has elected a new government - possibly, one with little interest in a truce with Hamas. But even an unspoken truce would have to involve the opening of crossings to relieve the humanitarian catastrophe and would require mechanisms for monitoring the flow of goods into Gaza and smuggling via tunnels. In other words...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How the Gaza War Could End: Three Scenarios | 1/16/2009 | See Source »

...March 31. GM hasn't said yet whether it will require additional loans during this quarter - $4 billion more has been authorized - though CEO Rick Waggoner, speaking to reporters at the Detroit Auto Show, said it is a possibility. He also said that a GM bankruptcy is still "an option...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Auto Bailout Keeps Growing, and Growing | 1/14/2009 | See Source »

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