Word: orren
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Experts agree that both underdog and bandwagon effects tend to be stronger in primaries than in general elections. "Most of the evidence suggests that the polls in general elections have a very limited bandwagon or underdog effect," says Gary R. Orren, a Kennedy School professor. In a general election, partisanship provides a broad base of support that "outweighs" any potential effect the polls might have, Orren adds...
This partisanship does not exist in primaries, and the differences among candidates may not be as well defined and tangible as they are in general elections. "In these primaries," Orren says, "people tend to vote strategically...
...many democratic forums, debates and road shows have resulted in a moderate amount of exposure for each candidate, Orren says. "I think that the media coverage has been rather evenhanded," he adds. "There's no evidence that Mondale is getting excessive coverage. The voters know who the candidates...
...Garry R. Orren, professor of Public Policy at the Kennedy School, acted in a background paper prepared for the conference a that "reforms which shift the burden of registration from the citizen to the state represent a sharp departure from some core values of American political culture." He explains that "our voting system still rents on an ethic of voluntarism. We rely on self-motivated individuals to rouse themselves to vote." In general, it is not unreasonable to expect voters to show interest a month before election-day. Along the same lines, though conference participants argued that the vast number...
Together with Orren--who declined to comment yesterday--Verba is authoring a background paper for the conferees on the history of voting turnout, as well as possible means for changing recent patterns...