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...negotiating drama has been heating up since June, when Secretary of State Shultz paid a surprise visit to Managua, Nicaragua's capital, largely at the urging of Mexican President Miguel de la Madrid Hurtado. In discussions with Junta Coordinator Daniel Ortega Saavedra, Shultz inaugurated what amounts to a fight-and-talk approach to U.S.-Nicaraguan diplomacy. After years of shunning direct negotiations with the Sandinistas, Shultz agreed to open formal channels of discussion on improving relations. But the Administration made no move to abandon its pressure tactics toward Nicaragua, notably covert support for the contras and the scheduling...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Diplomacy: The Secret off Manzanillo | 9/3/1984 | See Source »

Behind such expressions of State Department impatience is a feeling that Nicaragua's ruling nine-member National Directorate is split over the strategy that it should pursue in the negotiations. The prevailing speculation among U.S. policymakers is that Junta Coordinator Ortega, who is also the Sandinista candidate for President in the November elections, leads a pragmatic faction that is tempted to make concessions. According to that analysis, Ortega's hard-line opponents on the Directorate are led by Interior Minister Tomás Borge Martinez. Other experts are less certain of the Ortega-Borge division, but according...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Diplomacy: The Secret off Manzanillo | 9/3/1984 | See Source »

Deaver's fussy imagemaking shows up everywhere. It was he, against strong opposition, who pushed for Katherine Davalos Ortega as the keynote speaker at this week's Dallas convention. He brushed aside suggestions that she was boring, seeing her instead as an answer to Geraldine Ferraro. Reagan sided with him. He balked at the showcasing of 1988 presidential hopefuls such as Howard Baker and Jack Kemp, and their roles were cut back. He initiated the convention films on the Reagans, including one on the First Lady. For that one, Deaver persuaded Reagan to be the narrator...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Making Reagan Be Reagan | 8/27/1984 | See Source »

Critics concede that forecasting has its place. "Whether we like it or not," Spanish Philosopher Ortega y Gasset once wrote, "human life is a constant preoccupation with the future." Indeed, though bad predictions have hurt companies like AMAX, its chairman, Pierre Gousseland, still believes in trying to look ahead. Says he: "Economists are as essential to conducting your business as meteorologists are for anticipating weather patterns. The alternative would be flying blind." But even when the weatherman forecasts sunshine, a cautious person may take along an umbrella. Executives should be no less skeptical when listening to their economists. -By John...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Forecasters Flunk | 8/27/1984 | See Source »

Cruz had apparently hoped that by returning home to challenge Junta Coordinator Daniel Ortega Saavedra for the presidency, he might be able to pressure the Sandinistas into making concessions, such as a general amnesty and opening talks with U.S.-backed anti-Communist contra guerrillas. But that tactic only drew scorn from the Managua regime. The Sandinista newspaper, Barricada, charged that Cruz had presented his candidacy "like an intermediary of the mercenaries, financed by President Reagan and the CIA." Said Sandinista Directorate Member Bayardo Arce: "Why should we talk to the clowns when we can talk to the circus owners...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Nicaragua: Ready, Set, No! | 8/6/1984 | See Source »

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