Word: oscars
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...that uninspired nickname). It was that the indie comedy Little Miss Sunshine won the Best Ensemble award, beating Babel, Bobby, The Departed and Dreamgirls. Because Crash burst out off the pack last year with a SAG win in the same category, and upset Brokeback Mountain to take the Oscar for Best Picture, Sunshine's victory has to spur it at least the realm of Serious Speculation...
...Oscar crystal ball just got murkier...
...they all won the Golden Globes and many critics' prizes, and they all won again at last night's Screen Actors Guild award. If this quartet doesn't win on Feb. 25, there'll be gasps, calls for a recount and a lot of disappointed bettors in the office Oscar pool...
...question that last year's surprise SAG ensemble award to Crash propelled it to the forefront of the Academy membership's consciousness. The prize for Sunshine will make some voters think, perhaps for the first time, "Hey, why not?" But the SAG award is no reliable predictor of Oscar success. The Guild gave it first ensemble prize in 1996, and only five of the 11 winners (Shakespeare in Love, American Beauty, Chicago, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King and Crash) have gone on to snag the Oscar for Best Picture. (The films the Actors favored...
...Sunshine has a more daunting historical obstacle to hurdle: its directors, Jonathan Dayton and Valerie Faris, were not nominated in their Oscar category. That citation would have been sweet, whatever you think of the movie, since the Academy has nominated a directorial pair only twice before (for West Side Story and the 1978 Heaven Can Wait), and because you could count the number of women nominated for Best Directors on the fingers of a maimed hand. (Three: Lina Wertmuller for Seven Beauties, Jane Campion for The Piano and Sofia Coppola, the only American woman, for Lost in Translation...