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...society as completely as the internal-combustion engine and electric power did, beginning roughly a century ago. But why is there so little hard numerical evidence that this is happening? In particular, if computers are sparking a new industrial revolution, why have the numbers that measure the growth in output per labor-hour of the U.S. economy been so persistently anemic? As Nobel prizewinner Robert Solow summarized in what economists now call the Solow Paradox, computers are everywhere--except in the productivity statistics...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Quarterly Business Report: Do Computers Really Save Money? | 10/12/1998 | See Source »

...slowdown," says Allen Sinai, chief global economist of Primark Decision Economics, a major forecasting firm. And next year, if the board's majority opinion is correct, the slowdown should cross the line into a growth recession. That is usually defined as a continuing increase in national output of goods and services, but one too puny to keep unemployment from rising...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Quarterly Business Report: Goldilocks Gone | 10/12/1998 | See Source »

...occupies the prestigious Stanley G. Harris chair of economics at Northwestern University, thinks profits may be hit even harder, though he offers no numbers. His explanation: labor shortages caused by the past boom are still severe and likely to remain so even with a slowdown in the growth of output. That condition will push up wages faster than companies will be able to raise either prices or productivity--that is, output per hour. Productivity is in fact already sliding, as it usually does at this late stage of a business expansion, the increasing computerization of the economy notwithstanding. Even such...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Quarterly Business Report: Goldilocks Gone | 10/12/1998 | See Source »

...most worried by "a very intense and unprecedented global credit crunch and balance-sheet contraction" that seems to be getting steadily worse. He runs down a kind of box score: nine of 13 countries on the Pacific Rim of Asia that once accounted for a third of world output "are in depression or recession, and we're still counting"; Japan, the world's second biggest economy, "is still going down--it looks like a drop of 2% this year"; in Latin America, Venezuela and Colombia are in recession and Brazil is "in a very dicey situation," saddled with an overvalued...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Quarterly Business Report: Goldilocks Gone | 10/12/1998 | See Source »

Despite Kenneth Starr's prodigious output, important and unanswered questions remain: Did the President obstruct justice? Did he use White House staff to cover up his affair and his lies about it? Did he tamper with witnesses...

Author: NO WRITER ATTRIBUTED | Title: The Case Continues | 10/8/1998 | See Source »

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