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...were lightening portfolios as signs of continued economic weakness trumped talk of green shoots and recovery. As David Rosenberg of money manager Gluskin Sheff noted in a Monday-morning report, year-over-year economic numbers are simply awful: raw-steel production (-47.3%); lumber production (-32.6%); railway traffic (-20.1%); electrical output (-12.9%). Such negative numbers, in Rosenberg's view, "hardly paint the picture of an imminent recovery...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Stock-Market Pullback: Is the Recovery Stalling? | 6/16/2009 | See Source »

...fundamental uncertainty principle,” according to economics professor Jeremy C. Stein, means that the best model fed an infinite amount of data would still fail to predict securities prices perfectly. Relying heavily on this dataset and acting according to the outputs of the models would change economic parameters so that the original assumptions are no longer valid.“Unlike in the physical sciences, where with enough data you can learn what the truth is, in markets the truth is moving around a little bit,” Stein says.In a fundamentally uncertain world, placing too much...

Author: By Athena Y. Jiang, CRIMSON STAFF WRITER | Title: Post-Crisis Economics | 6/3/2009 | See Source »

...member countries of the OPEC cartel voted in Vienna on Thursday to maintain output at current levels rather than increase supplies in order to bring some relief to consumers, particularly in the gas-guzzling West. The OPEC oil ministers, whose countries account for about 40% of the world's entire crude-oil supply, also renewed their commitment to stick to their agreed quotas, rather than ship extra oil, as they began doing last April when several members ignored their agreed output limits. OPEC leaders, many of whose economies are heavily dependent on oil exports, have struggled to stabilize prices...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Oil Is Plentiful, Demand Weak. Why Are Gas Prices Going Up? | 5/29/2009 | See Source »

...countries that possibility evokes grim memories of 1998, when the Asian economic crisis sent demand plummeting, driving world oil prices down to $10 a barrel. "If we run out of storage it could prompt a collapse in the price," says Wardell. Oil producers might then choose to dramatically cut output in order to run down the surplus. (See pictures from Azerbaijan's oil boom...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Oil Is Plentiful, Demand Weak. Why Are Gas Prices Going Up? | 5/29/2009 | See Source »

...Heavy rains suppressed output in Colombia, the world's third biggest coffee producer, even as a government plan to replace old coffee trees with new, higher-yielding ones had put some areas out of production until the young trees mature. Combined, the twin pressures have squeezed Colombian coffee output by 16% in the current crop year, according to the ICO, which represents exporting and importing countries worldwide. Wet weather also stymied production to the north, in Central America, driving up prices there too. (See pictures of coffee...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Coffee Price Too Steep? Blame the Weather | 5/28/2009 | See Source »

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