Word: overprediction
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...Amherst Colleges occurred last fall; a new president perceived as a threat to affirmative action was elected; and events at Harvard aggravated the tension. In mid-October, a preliminary report on Harvard admissions prepared by an assistant to Bok was disclosed. The report said that high test scores often overpredict the academic performance of women and minorities at schools like Harvard, a finding which Third World students called "invalid" and "racist." In early November, the president of the Black Students Association, Lydia P. Jackson '82, received a death and rape threat from an as yet undetermined caller warning...
...tests are biased at the right tail, in the predictive sense discussed above: a 700 is not a 700 is not a 700. But the direction most people anticipate. Test scores at the right tail often overpredict the later academic performance of women and minorities compared to other students. In fact, at the right tail women perform slightly worse than their scores would predict; blacks also perform worse. Blacks may obtain grades up to half a standard deviation below what their scores would have led one to expect. Examples from the College, the Law School, and the Kennedy School support...
That study suggested that high test scores may overpredict the academic performance of minorities and women, and Third World students had asked Bok to disavow the report...
...Black Students Association originally asked Bok to write an open letter on the status of minorities in November, following the disclosure of a controversial preliminary draft of a study prepared by Robert E. Klitgaard '68, special assistant to Bok, which suggests that high test scores often overpredict the academic performance of women and minorities...
...preliminary report on Harvard admissions prepared by Bok's special assistant Robert E. Klitgaard '68 suggested that high test scores for minority students and women often overpredict academic performance. To show their displeasure, more than 200 students marched through the Yard and demonstrated outside Massachusetts Hall, presenting Bok with eight demands and threatening to occupy the building. The president of the Black Students Association, Lydia P. Jackson '82, received a death threat and a rape threat for her "political activities." These events corresponded with a number of national racially motivated incidents, including a cross-burning at Williams College. In response...