Word: p
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...tell the dismal story. In the 10 years ending Dec. 31, 2008, investors suffered a negative 3.15% real return in U.S. stocks, constituting the fourth worst 10-year period since 1871. Given the pummeling the stock market has taken this decade - even after this year's rally, the S&P 500 index remains 32% below its all-time high reached in October 2007 - many are now questioning whether stocks should be the cornerstone of investors' long-run portfolios...
...Equities bears maintain that the recent stock rally has already outrun fundamentals and that stocks are no longer cheap. To be sure, based on projected operating earnings for all of 2009, S&P 500 companies are trading at an average price-earnings ratio of nearly 19, higher than the long-term historical average of 15. But basing stock values on 2009 data is inappropriate. This year saw the bottom of the worst recession since World War II. What is relevant for determining stock values are future earnings, not past earnings. Next year's operating earnings for S&P 500 companies...
...slower economic growth and limited stock returns because American consumers have become thriftier. Instead of spending, they are paying off their heavy debts, and this will weigh on corporate earnings indefinitely. Yet it is world economic growth, not U.S. growth, that will dictate future stock returns. S&P 500 companies now obtain almost half of their revenue and profits outside the U.S. That share will most certainly rise as growth in the emerging nations continues to outpace that of the developed world...
...Writer Eric P. Newcomer can be reached at newcomer@fas.harvard.edu...
Holoshitz forwarded her e-mail, and Seiler’s subsequent responses, to both current UC Vice President Kia J. McLeod ’10 and former UC presidential candidate Benjamin P. Schwartz ’10, who lost in a bitter race against Flores last year. In these e-mails, she discussed with Schwartz the possibility of feeding a story about the voting software to a Crimson reporter...