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...wrong. Dozens of states have found themselves with budget shortfalls, some quite massive, partly because economists weren't ratcheting down expectations of tax revenue nearly fast enough. In late November, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Survey of Professional Forecasters indicated GDP would decline at an annual pace of 1.1% for the first three months of 2009. The economy proceeded to shrink at a pace of 5.5%. (See what to expect when the recession ends...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Are Economists So Bad at Forecasting? | 7/17/2009 | See Source »

...latest news on the economy, though not positive, was at least benign, and that helped ease investor anxiety. Industrial production, reported Wednesday morning, is still declining, though the pace of decline is the slowest in eight months, adding another green shoot to the optimists' garden. A further boost to investor confidence came from just released minutes of the June meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. The minutes revealed that most Fed officials believe the 18-month old recession is nearing...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Despite the Economy's Struggles, Stock Market Soars | 7/16/2009 | See Source »

...trading partners, particularly those countries in Asia that export raw materials to China's manufacturers. Imports of semifinished industrial metals in the quarter soared by more than 35%, as China's stimulus-driven infrastructure build-out gathered steam. Overall fixed-asset investment picked up 33.5% year over year, a pace that recalled the country's glory years of double-digit economic expansion. (See pictures of life on the fringes of the People's Republic...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: China's Economic Recovery Gathers Steam | 7/16/2009 | See Source »

...country’s rapid economic growth in the past decade has been fueled by a transition to the open market, and for the country to continue at this pace, it needs more open market reforms. The economy is still hampered by strict government regulation and distorted by enormous government spending, and though regulation and spending are understandable reactions to the global economic crisis of the last year, Indians were rightly expecting the continuation of the reform agenda in this year’s budget...

Author: By Ravi N. Mulani | Title: A Budget to Forget | 7/15/2009 | See Source »

Granted, some Iranians have little taste for American culture, but they see immigration to the U.S. and Europe as a way to escape the increasingly repressive regime. The brain drain has been a pressing problem for years, but the presidential election and its fallout has quickened its pace. An Iranian student who is supposed to enter a university in New England this fall says that worsening relations may have dashed his chance to secure an American visa (stories abound of Iranians waiting upwards of a year to hear about their applications). "We cannot stay in this country," he says...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Great Satan's Old Den: Visiting Tehran's U.S. Embassy | 7/14/2009 | See Source »

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