Word: padgetts
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...fear of a potentially violent confrontation with the Cuban exile activists guarding Lazaro Gonzalez's home - who have vowed to die before allowing the boy to leave - may restrain the government from going in and collecting Elian. "Remember, Al Gore needs Florida votes," says TIME Miami bureau chief Tim Padgett. "From what we've see so far, the Clinton administration has little stomach for enforcing its decision to return Elian to Cuba." The government has threatened to revoke Elian's parole status by Thursday if Lazaro fails to sign its document, but although that would give the INS legal authority...
...come within a week, but even that may not bring the matter to a close. "If they lose in the courts, the Miami family may again try to appeal to Congress to come up with some device, such as granting Elian citizenship," says TIME Miami bureau chief Tim Padgett. "If they've lost in court, Congress would be much less enthusiastic about supporting them. But the government wants to be as cautious as possible about how they proceed to send Elian home, and that creates many openings for the Miami relatives to delay the process. There'll be no surprise...
...considerations may weigh heavily in favor of allowing the appeals process to be exhausted, so that the final decision can be attributed to the courts. "The government will want to handle this with kid gloves so as not to offend the Florida vote," says TIME Miami bureau chief Tim Padgett. "So far the Justice Department has shown no inclination to actually enforce the ruling they made back in January that Elian should go home." Indeed, during the hearing Judge Moore had asked why the INS hadn't simply rejected Lazaro Gonzalez's asylum appeal and sent the boy home...
...congressional Republicans who want Elian kept in Miami may further complicate matters with a political initiative of their own. "A drawn-out appeal process will certainly give new impetus to congressional efforts to make Elian a citizen, and any other tricks they may have up their sleeves," says Padgett. "This is far from over." Indeed, if Elian was once hostage to a fearsome family feud, he may soon be a captive of a particularly bitter U.S. election...
...case agree that this judge's acceptance of the family's claim that Elian is intellectually capable of understanding what it means to apply for asylum stretches the boundaries of credulity. The judge is not expected to render his decision until next week, says TIME Miami bureau chief Tim Padgett, but even when the ruling comes down, this story will be far from over, given the fierce emotion sparked by Elian's case. "Both sides will appeal any decision that's made against them," says Padgett. "And let's say the case is eventually resolved, and Elian is ordered...