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...five years, that phrase has cropped up in most of my conversations in Iraq. First spoken in hope, then inevitability, it is now uttered with a sense of urgency--and among some, alarm. Under the terms of the status-of-forces agreement ratified on Nov. 27 by the Iraqi parliament, U.S. troops must leave no later than the end of 2011; a referendum next summer could bring that deadline even closer. As the drawdown gathers speed, it will diminish the U.S.'s ability to influence Iraqi affairs. "Very soon, we will no longer have foreigners to blame for our problems...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: When the U.S. Leaves, Will Iraq Strut or Stumble? | 12/4/2008 | See Source »

...Qaeda bombers and armed Shi'ite and Sunni militants, who fought a two-year civil war. Now, however, the main vectors of sectarian violence have been turned back, weakened or co-opted. Although there has been no meaningful political or social reconciliation between the sects, their representatives in parliament have learned to form expedient alliances, which will doubtless continue as the parties jockey for power in post-occupation Iraq...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: When the U.S. Leaves, Will Iraq Strut or Stumble? | 12/4/2008 | See Source »

...notably a 2002 pogrom against Muslims in the state of Gujarat--offered a crucial opportunity to recruit disaffected Indian Muslims to the cause of violence. The increasing frequency of terrorist attacks on Indian targets in recent years has, however, repeatedly been traced to Pakistan. One assault--on India's parliament in December 2001 by the Pakistan-based militant organization Jaish-e-Muhammad--nearly triggered a full-scale war. This year U.S. intelligence sources publicly revealed that July's suicide bombing of the Indian embassy in Kabul was conducted at the behest of Pakistan's military intelligence agency, the Inter-Services...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: After the Horror | 12/4/2008 | See Source »

...intelligence institutions that have been responsible for cultivating the jihadists, and would be responsible for eliminating them. Nor would it easily believe that Pakistan's security establishment, despite its promises to Washington, has entirely renounced jihadist proxy warfare against India. Following the December 2001 attack on India's parliament by LeT militants that brought the two countries to the brink of war, Washington twisted Pakistan's arm to crack down on some of the groups it had cultivated. The LeT was even banned in Pakistan (it had to be, since the U.S. had added it to its list of international...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: After Mumbai, Can the US Cool India-Pakistan Tension? | 12/4/2008 | See Source »

...strong hand in creating. Nor is the ISI's current orientation entirely unambiguous: the CIA recently confronted Pakistan with evidence of direct involvement by elements of the ISI in a July terror attack on the Indian embassy in Kabul. In response to the pressure resulting from the 2001 India parliament attack, the Pakistani security establishment appears to have tried to stand down some of the its key militant proxies, rather than entirely disabling and eliminating them. A number of analysts believe the LeT then moved beyond the control of its erstwhile ISI patrons, and has drawn closer to the Taliban/al-Qaeda...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: After Mumbai, Can the US Cool India-Pakistan Tension? | 12/4/2008 | See Source »

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