Word: pelosi
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...Clearly, Shuler is one Blue Dog Pelosi has already lost. Her challenge now will be to keep as many of Shuler's classmates and their colleagues on board will the bill if immigration reform has any shot of passing this year...
...Senate is expected to pass immigration legislation before the July 4 recess, and the House plans to pick up the issue next month. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is considering breaking up the Senate measure into smaller pieces of legislation, omitting one major component - the path to citizenship the senators propose to offer the estimated 12 million illegal immigrants currently living...
Shuler has joined at least six other freshmen in opposing any legislation that includes a path to citizenship, which is why Pelosi told Bush in January that she will need at least 70 Republican votes to pass the measure...
...order to provide more cover for moderate Democrats, Pelosi is considering separate passage for two other pieces of the bill: a guest worker program, and the provisions beefing up border security. This gives representatives like Shuler the opportunity to vote for border security, which has broad support. The Senate legislation would double the border patrol, and provides billions in funding for additional fencing and border technology. It would also start the guest worker program - which would grant 400,000 two-year visas to workers looking for U.S. employment - only after all of the border security fixes have been implemented...
...Pelosi opts for this route, the Senate would put the path to citizenship back in conference, allowing the House to hold only one vote on so-called "amnesty" provision. And Speaker Pelosi will certainly have her work cut out for her in coaxing the Blue Dogs (as the moderate Democratic coalition in the House dubs itself) into voting for the bill...