Word: perots
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Adding to that uncertainty is the fact that Perot's appeal is uneven, both in terms of demographics and geography. In the aggregate, Perot seems to draw slightly more from Clinton than from Bush. But in some normally Republican states, particularly in the Southwest and West, he damages Bush grievously. G.O.P. surveys last week indicated that Perot could finish ahead of Bush in New Mexico, Arizona and California. Clinton's hold on California appears unbreakable -- a large factor in his lead in electoral-vote estimates -- but in some smaller states, it is Perot rather than Clinton who is drowning Bush...
...With Perot pouring tens of millions of dollars into unconventional network advertising, measuring his chances in the end game can be tricky. But most analysts believe that by Election Day many current Perot supporters will agree with his rivals' admonitions against wasting votes on the independent candidate...
...pull to an inside straight. But if we win everywhere where we are now eight points back, it could actually happen." More likely is the hope in the Clinton camp that a relatively modest majority in the popular vote, or even a mere plurality brought about because of Perot's share, will still translate into an electoral-vote landslide. Clinton's hold on several of the largest states seems secure, and he remains ahead in many states -- such as Pennsylvania, Ohio and Missouri -- that Democrats have failed to carry since 1976. TIME's analysis of the electoral-vote map shows...
...Desert Storm dissipated like so many grains of sand. Few Bush opponents would have anticipated that he might be vulnerable on his handling of Iraq in the aftermath of Desert Storm, when 91% of the U.S. public applauded his leadership. But now the issue appeals to Clinton and Perot as they look for ways to undermine the one area where Bush's reputation remained strong. In the final debate, Perot lobbed a bombshell -- with no supporting evidence -- claiming Bush had given Saddam a secret green light to seize the northern part of Kuwait. Al Gore charges that Bush's inept...
Responding to Perot's broadside in the debate, Bush declared that "there hasn't been one single scintilla of evidence that there's any U.S. technology involved" in Saddam's nuclear program. In fact, as Bush later admitted, U.N. inspectors found advanced American products in Iraqi nuclear-weapons labs, purchased with proper export licenses. "Our own records show U.S. computers went to virtually every known nuclear and ballistic missile site," says Gary Milhollin, director of the Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control in Washington. But it is also true that much more dual-use equipment -- and military weapons -- came from...