Word: perots
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...ROSS PEROT SAYS HE'S NOT A POLITICIAN, BUT HE CERTAINLY has a talent for causing political controversy when he starts talking. Last week when Perot told C-SPAN that President Reagan had encouraged him to accept a 1987 invitation from Vietnam to go to Hanoi and that he delivered an important report to the President when he returned, some former White House officials were outraged. They say that everyone -- the President included -- was totally opposed to Perot's trip but that the tenacious Texan could not be dissuaded. Once in Hanoi, these former Reagan aides say, Perot inappropriately contradicted...
...Quayle's attempt to energize conservatives by attacking Murphy Brown shows just how different the 1992 campaign has already become. Ross Perot's pending entrance in the race -- and the possibility that he might attract between a quarter and a third or more of the vote this fall -- has George Bush and Bill Clinton paying unusually heavy tribute to their parties' core constituents. Instead of moving their candidates toward the center to win, both camps are seriously mulling over how to win the White House with just the thinnest plurality of voters. Call it the 34% solution...
...central calculation that Democrats and Republicans are now testing is whether it is possible to capture the presidency this fall with just their most ardent supporters plus a sliver of help from the independents, who seem increasingly devoted to Perot. Ultimately Bush and Clinton may have little choice: with Perot drawing most deeply from independents and matching Bush in national polls, it seems increasingly possible that the next President may win as little as 34% to 45% of the popular vote...
Slow to realize Perot's potential, Bush's lieutenants are still split over the answer. White House chief of staff Sam Skinner, Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady and campaign chief Bob Mosbacher continue to doubt that the Perot challenge will survive past Labor Day. But Quayle, campaign chairman Bob Teeter and manager Fred Malek, stunned that Bush is dropping in the polls even while the economy is improving, are starting to hedge their bets...
...reached out to independents in the fall with the "kinder and gentler" clean-air and child-care initiatives, and he won easily. But in a three-man race, such overtures may be unnecessary, even unwise. Conservative Republicans have never really liked or trusted Bush, and they could bolt to Perot if the President starts sounding moderate again...