Word: polle
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...that said, there are no sure bets when it comes to handicapping the Iowa caucus. The polls continue to fluctuate, and it is still possible that either Huckabee or Romney could stumble their way out of the top tier. A poll released Friday by the Associated Press estimated that 40% of Republican primary voters had changed candidate allegiances since November. And that poll was taken before the Christmas holiday, when millions of Americans had a chance to talk politics with family around the dinner table. "If anybody tells you that they know how to do this caucus...
...Thompson campaign is hoping that this hawkish immigration message will help earn its candidate a bronze medal on caucus night, January 3. With the two Republican front-runners, Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee, both polling over 25%, a respectable third-place finish is the most that Thompson can hope for. But even that won't be easy, since three Republican candidates are vying for the third spot in Iowa - Arizona Sen. John McCain, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, and Thompson, each with poll numbers that hover around 10%. Though fourth or fifth place is not necessarily a death knell...
...Giuliani's Iowa campaign, meanwhile, remains the most ponderous. For months, Giuliani has played hot and cold with the state, spending money on the ground but stopping short of making a full commitment, as his poll numbers have steadily declined. He has a paid staff of 12, on par with Huckabee's 14-person operation, and significant direct mail presence, but he has not backed up the campaign with any local television advertisements, and only occasional visits, including a two-day swing that will begin Friday. The campaign continues to try to lower expectations. "We feel very good about...
...campaign just isn't organized," said one veteran Iowa operative working for a rival Republican campaign. "He's got natural networks out there that are doing it themselves." These include some of the same networks that allowed Huckabee to place a surprise second in the August Ames straw poll: home schoolers, Bible study groups, and well-organized supporters of the Fair...
...fluid nature of the races are mirrored in Nevada, where Clinton leads Obama by 8 points in a recent poll, while Giuliani holds a slight lead over Romney and Huckabee. "Now that it appears nothing will be settled after Iowa and New Hampshire, we could be seen as a tie-breaking momentum-builder," says Las Vegas Sun columnist Jon Ralston. "And the calendar changes give us 10 straight days of attention...