Word: polled
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...many voters span several categories: the party core; the union and association members; those who support a particular candidate; those dragged along by voters in the first three groups; and the merely curious. "The thing about the 'drag' and the 'curious' is that it's really hard to poll beforehand who they are because they don't know who they are until just before the caucuses," Bender says. Even inside the caucus room the 'drag' are unpredictable because they are so prone to changing horses...
...there are limits. Candidates can go too far and offend the millions of Americans who want Presidents to be comfortable with religion but not excessively zealous. (In a September 2007 Pew Research poll, 70% of voters said they wanted a President with strong religious beliefs, but 50% didn't like it when politicians talked about their faith.) It's a public posture rooted in the nation's founding, when pilgrims sought a place where they could practice their faith while also avoiding the religious strife that had plagued Europe for centuries. Even today, there is a golden rule for candidates...
...referred to the "holocaust" of abortion, and declared "I think it's important that the language of Zion is a mother tongue, and not a recently acquired second language." A few media (including TIME) noted that Huckabee received more than half of the on-site votes in a straw poll, but most missed the story...
...will be keen for the poll to take place as soon as possible so the party can capitalize on the outpouring of sympathy for Benazir, who, though a divisive figure for many, was loved by millions. Bilawal's focus on the "stability of the federation" was significant. Following Benazir's death, the worst violence was in her home province of Sindh, where talk of separation has been growing. While Pakistan is under no immediate threat of a breakup, the presence of a Bhutto at the head of the country's main opposition party will be a reassuring sight...
...that said, there are no sure bets when it comes to handicapping the Iowa caucus. The polls continue to fluctuate, and it is still possible that either Huckabee or Romney could stumble their way out of the top tier. A poll released Friday by the Associated Press estimated that 40% of Republican primary voters had changed candidate allegiances since November. And that poll was taken before the Christmas holiday, when millions of Americans had a chance to talk politics with family around the dinner table. "If anybody tells you that they know how to do this caucus...