Word: polling
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Dates: during 1920-1929
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...following article was written especially for the Crimson by Professor A. N. Holcombe '06, professor of Government at Harvard, about the Literary Digest poll and the outcome of the election...
...election day draws near and the straw votes pile up, the business of picking the winner becomes more active. According to the Literary Digest poll, which furnishes the most impressive returns, Hoover has a majority in 44 states with 488 electoral votes, while Smith has only 4 states with 43 votes. Already Republicans are claiming that it is all over but the shouting...
...Digest mailed its ballots to nineteen million voters and about one in seven have marked them and sent them back. Is this one-seventh a fair sample of the whole body of voters? If not, the real meaning of the poll will not appear on the face of the returns...
...Poll Overestimates G. O. P. Power...
...moment's scrutiny of the figures shows that in fact they are not an accurate index of the opinion of the voters at large. In New York City, for instance, where ballots were mailed to all registered voters, the Digest poll shows a majority for Smith of 35,000 votes in a total of over 240,000. These votes were cast by persons, 112,000 of whom report that they supported the Republican ticket in 1924 while only 83,000 admit having supported the Democratic ticket at that election. If this were a fair sample of the voters...