Word: polling
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...note of electoral contests 10,000 miles away: the transparent and hotly contested race bears such stark contrast to recent elections in their own countries, which have been marred by opacity, vote-rigging and tribal politics. There has been widespread violence in the aftermath of Kenya's Dec. 27 poll, with the country split along tribal lines. Nicholas Kristof of the New York Times recently reported that members of Obama's Luo ethnic group are supporting him, while rival Kikuyus are vociferously backing Clinton. "People do stand back and are a bit agog about the competitiveness and openness of American...
...Ghraib prison photographs, comes out April 25. Morris has reason to believe in the persuasive power of cinema: his 1988 film about the murder of a police officer, The Thin Blue Line, got a man out of prison. Most movies' legacies are trickier to measure, however. In a TIME poll of 1,002 registered voters, about 30% of respondents said a movie had changed their mind about an issue. Fewer than 20% said a movie had persuaded them to donate money to a charity or inspired them to volunteer for a cause. And only 10% said a movie had caused...
...event in the movement," says Joel Segal, a staffer assisting Congressman John Conyers on a universal-health-care bill. "I don't think it's a coincidence that all the Democratic candidates--presidential and congressional--are pushing universal health care as a front-burner issue." A Kaiser Family Foundation poll found that as a result of Sicko, 43% of people were more likely to report that they think health-care reform is needed. However, the effect was not universal--43% of liberals had a positive view of the film, compared with just 9% of conservatives...
...what talk radio is for conservatives: a way of rallying the base. Many follow the pattern of the $370 million--grossing 2004 juggernaut The Passion of the Christ. Fewer than 0.1% of those who saw the film said they became Christians as a result, according to a Barna Group poll, but 18% of the audience said some aspect of their religious behavior changed--mostly praying and attending church more...
...race is certainly tight. The Center for Sociological Research, Spain's main polling institution, released a survey on February 16 giving the Socialists a slim 1.5-point advantage over the Popular Party. More recently, Metroscopia's poll for the liberal newspaper El País put the Socialists' lead at 4.1%. Either way, says University of Murcia political scientist Ismael Crespo, the Socialists have to hope for a high turnout. "The PP's ranks are very loyal; 80 to 85% of those who voted for them in 2004 will vote for them this time," he says. "But traditionally, about...