Word: polling
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Perhaps the biggest factor separating the two men is simple demographics. As in Iowa, Huckabee finds himself with a direct line to the evangelical voters who dominate the Republican base. David Woodard, who helps run the Clemson University Palmetto Poll, says that over the last 20 years, between 60 and 70 percent of the state's likely Republican primary voters have gone to church at least once a week. Of that group, about half are Southern Baptist, the faith of the pastor-turned-politician Huckabee. "When he won in Iowa, that gave him a lot of credibility across the state...
...then Huckabee won in Iowa, not barely, but by 9 points. He crushed Mitt Romney, despite the Mitt machine, a massive campaign organization that ruled the August straw poll and dropped nasty mailers like confetti. Now he is polling third behind Romney and McCain in New Hampshire, the two home-state favorites, at about 11%, a Southern Baptist minister who has pulled ahead of a former New York mayor, Rudy Giuliani, in New England. Huckabee has skillfully set expectations low enough that a third-place finish in New Hampshire will be viewed as a success, and he is also leading...
Along with a change of her political fortunes as the result of her devastating loss in Iowa and dropping poll numbers in New Hampshire, Hillary Clinton's once-flush presidential campaign now faces a problem that few would have expected at this point: a sudden urgency to raise a lot of money fast...
...turns out. Sunday's daily Le Parisien published a new opinion poll showing Sarkozy's public approval rating had dropped seven points since December to 48%. Perhaps just as bad for the reportedly altar-bound Sarkozy, however, was that poll's finding that 48% of respondents said he overexposes his private life...
...Another poll published Monday by the leftist daily Libération had some better political news for Sarkozy: a 54% approval rating marking a modest 2% decline over the previous month. But 63% of respondents to that poll agreed that the president "exposes his private life too much" - another sign that Sarkozy's luck (or strategy) of press frenzy over his intimate affairs overshadowing real political news may now be coming back to haunt him. That reversal comes just as France enters what appears to be a period of economic sluggishness in the run-up to March municipal elections that...