Word: polling
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...average." We all tend to be overconfident about ourselves in surprising ways. About 90% of drivers think they are safer than the average driver. Most people also think they are less likely than others to get divorced, have heart disease or get fired. Likewise, according to a late-August poll by CNN/Opinion Research Corp., more than 60% of Americans surveyed said they were not worried about themselves or anyone else in their family getting swine...
...moment, a delicate power balance holds in Islamabad. Whatever its gripes, the army is not in a position to grab power. As a recent poll revealed, a surprising majority still favors a dysfunctional democracy over military rule. The popular opposition is restive but seems prepared to wait its turn. Zardari may just yet become the first civilian leader to complete a full term. But that, as officials in Washington likely realize, depends very much on Zardari himself...
Afghanistan's former Foreign Minister and current presidential aspirant Dr. Abdullah Abdullah refers to President Hamid Karzai as "that gentleman" with a kind of icy irony. Abdullah dismisses Karzai's suggestion that the two men - at loggerheads over the result of the Aug. 20 presidential poll, which Karzai says he won, and Abdullah says was rigged - should form a government of national unity. "I ran for a change in Afghanistan," Abdullah says. "Not for deal-making." And the U.N., which Abdullah blames for the poor organization of the polls and a pro-Karzai bias, doesn't escape his ire. "Right...
...wide-ranging interview with TIME, Abdullah rejected all talk of compromise over the disputed poll. Unofficial results give Karzai 54.6% of the vote and Abdullah just 27.8%. But European observers say that at least 1.5 million ballots - more than one-third of the total - may have been fraudulent. If, as opponents and foreign observers allege, most of the tainted ballots turn out to be for Karzai, that could drop the President below the 50% mark. "The international community has to ask itself: Will it tolerate this massive fraud?" Abdullah asks...
...struggle over the poll also highlights the country's age-old ethnic divide. In the August poll, Abdullah won a clear majority of the Tajik vote in the north; Karzai the Pashtun vote in the south. Abdullah's ties to the late warrior-poet, Ahmed Shah Masood, killed by al-Qaeda a few days before 9/11, help Abdullah's support in the north because Tajiks revere Masood as an exemplary leader who single-handedly held off the Soviets and the Taliban. On the other hand, Abdullah's Masood connection is a turnoff to many Pashtun tribesmen, who viewed Masood...