Word: pollinger
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While election polls show Barack Obama leading in tomorrow’s presidential election, a key question throughout the election has been whether polls overstate the support of black candidates. Fortunately for the Obama campaign, a new Harvard study finds that the senator may not have much to worry about...
The Crimson administered its questionnaire to a random sample of 1,000 undergraduates using the iCommons polling interface. Harvard FAS ID’s were used as logins to prevent repeat voting and responses from students not included in the survey sample. The poll carried a margin of error of...
This election season, the conventional wisdom no longer seems to apply, especially with regard to the perennial “battleground states.” Traditionally thought to include Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida, recent polling indicates that traditionally-red states, like North Carolina and Virginia, could come into play...
In the 1990s, the major news networks and the Associated Press formed a polling consortium to cut costs, but this proved disastrous in 2000, when it declared the race for Al Gore around 8 p.m., switched to George W. Bush by 2 a.m. and left the race at "too close...
Another important lesson on the dangers of polling came in Israel in 1996. Despite initial exit polling suggesting Shimon Peres had been elected Prime Minister, when the actual votes were tallied it was Binyamin Netanyahu who emerged victorious. I spent six tough but fascinating years based in Jerusalem. Reminders of...