Word: polls
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Dates: during 1970-1979
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Although Ford clearly starts out as the underdog?trailing in the latest Gallup poll 37% to Carter's 52%?the struggle with Carter promises to be the most exciting and fascinating since John Kennedy edged Richard Nixon in 1960. In fact, in its patterns and subtleties, it may well be even more complicated than that epic contest. As the man who is trying to reunite the old Democratic coalition, Carter chose the site for his Labor Day speech with special care for its symbolism: Warm Springs, Ga., where Franklin D. Roosevelt often visited and where he died...
Already buoyed by his hard-fought triumph over Ronald Reagan, the President got some good news from the first polls taken after the Republican Convention in Kansas City. Gallup showed Ford trailing Jimmy Carter by only 39% to 49%; in July, after the Democratic revival meeting in Manhattan, Gallup had Ford behind by a dismal 29% to 62%. Opinion Research Corp. put Carter nine points up. TIME'S own poll gave Carter only a six-point edge...
...hard fact of political life in the U.S. that the poor and disadvantaged fail to show their strength at the polls. Political Analyst Richard Scammon, coauthor (with Ben Wattenberg) of The Real Majority, estimates that as many as 80% of the 80 million to 90 million Americans who will vote in this election could be middle-or upper-class. What is more, a Gallup poll released last May showed that 47% of those surveyed consider themselves to be right of center, whatever their party label...
...poll makes clear that Ford's fate is tied to the national mood. If the country continues to prosper, his election chances will also improve. TIME'S State of the Nation Indicator, which measures people's confidence in America, has risen by 10% since June, to 44%. Of those who feel positive about the nation, 49% favor Ford while 37% are for Carter. If confidence in the U.S. plummets, then Carter benefits. Of those with negative feelings about the present-day U.S., 53% support the Democrat, 33% Ford...
...much of an issue in the coming campaign. In the 33 months since the shock of the 1973 Arab oil embargo, public concern about that issue has slid from white-hot worry to detached interest to what now seems to be near total apathy. A recent Gallup poll indicates that only 2% of the voting population regards energy as the most pressing national problem, above such other matters as cost of living, drug abuse and moral decline. Indeed, energy is only briefly mentioned in the two parties' campaign platforms...