Word: pollstering
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...among those who are 18 to 24 years old. What is more, members of this age group are registering as Republicans rather than as Democrats or independents, by ratios of 2 to 1 and 3 to 1, reversing a trend that began more than 40 years ago. Says Republican Pollster Robert Teeter: "For the first time since Roosevelt there is a significant group in the electorate who are Republican in greater overall numbers than Democrat. If these people stay loyal, you may have a much stronger Republican Party...
...President's Pied Piper appeal to young voters is the improving state of the economy. "They like the kind of notions Reagan gets across, like growth and job opportunity," says Teeter. "They're rejecting this whole idea of limits, that somehow the pie is getting smaller." Democratic Pollster Dotty Lynch agrees: "The youth vote feels the economy is strong, jobs are available. They are giving Reagan the credit." Peter Lund, 20, who is taking a semester off from college to work for the Illinois Republican campaign, is convinced that among students, the job market outweighs anything else. Says...
...would cause a riot." But Viet Nam and most of the other national traumas of the 1960s and early '70s have little resonance for young voters today, who are caught up in a surge of patriotic feeling. "They have not had disillusioning events in their lives," says Reagan Pollster Richard Wirthlin. Moreover, for all Reagan's talk about old-fashioned values, he frequently exudes a youthful impetuosity of spirit. "The peculiar thing about Reagan is that he is both brash and a preacher of traditional values," says an aide. "He can say, 'You ain't seen...
Others are skeptical about an enduring shift. "The youth vote is reacting to what it perceives as a healthy economy and to the mythic leadership of Reagan," says Democratic Pollster Hart. "It is not a bellwether for the future." Murray Fishel, a Kent State University political scientist, notes that young voters are more liberal on social issues than Reagan or his party. "Students do not support the Republican platform on issues like the environment or the Equal Rights Amendment," he says. "I think the shift is toward Reagan and not Reaganism." But whether fickle or faithful, the enthusiasm of young...
...Democrats have a grudging but intense awareness of the nation's new mood and its political importance. "This is a country that wants to believe in itself," says Mondale Pollster Peter Hart...