Word: pollstering
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...help, and there is no reason to believe he would do more in a second term. He invited 100 prominent Americans to Camp David a year ago, when he was trying to resolve the national "malaise" crisis, but he seemed to be following a script drawn up by Pollster Patrick Caddell. When Media Adviser Gerald Rafshoon urged Carter to fire Cabinet members days later as a means of attracting attention, the President acceded, an egregious exercise that seemed to make a mockery of his search for wise advice...
...With the exception of Virginia, the region was for Carter four years ago, giving him 40% of his electoral vote. But a poll by Atlanta's Darden Research Corp. last week of eight states in the heart of Dixie, excluding Virginia, shows Carter and Reagan running even. Says Pollster Claibourne Darden: "If Carter does not do better quickly, he's through." Concerned with the economy, national image and moral issues, many Southern whites have long been attracted to Reagan. Blacks, while still overwhelmingly pro-Carter, show signs of disaffection that could lead to a low turnout. Admits...
...aide: "Jerry's been doing a lot of soul searching. He still thinks Carter has a limited, linear mind and that he won't be able to cope with most of the problems of the next four years. Jerry has his own credibility to worry about." Observes Pollster Field: "Reagan is not as strong in California as everybody thinks he is. But he's strong enough to beat Carter...
...many will follow is one of the most intriguing-and imponderable -questions of the election. Clearly the rightist preachers' potential audience is vast. Estimates vary widely, mostly according to differing definitions of who should be considered to be an evangelical. Pollster George Gallup uses a three-part definition: someone who 1) describes himself or herself as "born again"; 2) regards the Bible as the literal word of God; 3) encourages others to believe in Christ. On that basis, Gallup calculates 30 million Americans of voting age, or 19% of all U.S. adults, are members of the group...
Carter, in contrast, contends that the conservative evangelical vote is over-rated and is making no attempt to woo it. Explains his pollster, Pat Caddell: "Americans basically don't like mixing politics and religion, even if it's their own religion." Nonetheless, Caddell somewhat contradictorily concedes that the rise of a militantly political religious right "is an important movement, far more probably than it's purported to be." It worries some of the President's state leaders. Carter won Ohio in 1976 partly because of a heavy evangelical vote, but the rightists are now organizing. Says...