Word: pollstering
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Both Democratic Pollster Peter Hart and Republican Pollster Robert Teeter last week said that it now seems possible for the Democrats to pick up two dozen House seats. Some analysts are even predicting a 40-seat gain. Any figure in that range would be a major rejection of the President's policies and make it almost impossible for the Administration to push any new economic initiatives through Congress. Democrats would then finally be forced to offer their own alternative budget and tax priorities in conjunction with the moderate Republican leadership in the Senate. Reagan's substantial defense-spending...
...major consideration in many races will be the activity of blacks, for whom the unemployment rate is more than 20%. "The blacks hate Reagan with a vengeance," says Pollster Hart. "Everything we see suggests there will be a better turnout among minorities." Southern Christian Leadership Conference President Joseph Lowery agrees: "Blacks are outraged at the gross insensitivity shown toward them and the willingness to cure inflation by sacrificing the poor on the altar of unemployment." As many as a million new black voters have registered for this year's election, according to Joseph Madison of the N.A.A.C.P. A Chicago...
That result tallied with surveys taken for the White House by Richard Wirthlin, Reagan's pollster. He found that the President's popularity ratings dipped five or six points over the weekend following the announcement, but rebounded by last Tuesday after interest rates continued to fall (the prime rate was down to 12% from 16.5% in midsummer) and the stock market shot up (from 777 on the Dow Jones industrial average in mid-August to 993 at the end of last week...
...politicians, the initials stand for the most fashionable topic among pollsters today: the "gender gap" between men and women voters. That difference is expected to play a meaningful role in the November balloting. Says Pollster Louis Harris: "Women are as pivotal as any single group in this election...
...points, women are more likely than men to decry the Reagan Administration's opposition to a nuclear arms freeze and its attempts to cut social welfare programs. Their foremost concern is the economy, and again they are more critical of Republican policies than are men. Explains Pollster Peter Hart: "Women are more economically sensitive than men. They are new to the job market...