Word: pollstering
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...exactly wrong. But the Democratic Party has become more moderate since the Clinton years, and in the past two presidential elections the G.O.P. has attacked Al Gore and John Kerry less as ideological radicals than as soulless opportunists, weather vanes willing to say whatever it took to win. As pollster Ruy Teixeira has noted, surveys in recent years show Democrats trailing the G.O.P. by more than 20 points when it comes to "know[ing] what they stand...
...less certain than the Lynds’ work in Muncie.Gallup and Roper trained Americans to answer personal questions about themselves, their preferences, and their ideas, as a means to getting at the “common” man’s thought. As Igo puts it, the pollsters gathered “atomized bits of opinion” and then “[grafted] them together so that they might speak for ‘America.’”Despite the polling technique of using a sample to represent the whole, pollsters also presented themselves...
What people say when questioned by a pollster about their political ideology, current events and the issues of race and gender is often vastly different than how they truly feel. The problem is that, even if it's just a voice over the phone, there's another person's expectations to live up to, another person's judgment that might come raining down with the "wrong" answer...
...primary ballots. And it could conceivably deliver our first female President. Or African American. Or Latino. Or Mormon. The campaign also marks the debut of the TIME Election Index, an original way of tracking the rise and fall of presidential candidates. The Index--hatched in a conversation between our pollster, Mark Schulman, and our national political correspondent, Karen Tumulty, who wrote the introduction to this week's cover--plots the amount of support that candidates attract against how much voters say they know about them. Candidates, of course, hope that the more voters see of them, the more they like...
...trial, African-Americans, both in Congress and in the general public, never wavered from their strong backing of the man whom author Toni Morrison dubbed the country's "first black President." And it's not just that Bill Clinton would be campaigning for his wife. Two years ago, Democratic pollster Mark Mellman found in a focus group of 10 black women that eight named Hillary Clinton as their political hero. "I've got the biggest picture of one person in my office, a picture of myself and Hillary Clinton," says Robert Ford, the South Carolina state senator. And he predicted...