Word: predict
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...tests are biased at the right tail, in the predictive sense discussed above: a 700 is not a 700 is not a 700. But the direction most people anticipate. Test scores at the right tail often overpredict the later academic performance of women and minorities compared to other students. In fact, at the right tail women perform slightly worse than their scores would predict; blacks also perform worse. Blacks may obtain grades up to half a standard deviation below what their scores would have led one to expect. Examples from the College, the Law School, and the Kennedy School support...
...Klitgaard '68, special assistant to President Bok, sparked controversy because of its claims about the aptitude and performance of certain ethnic groups. The so-called "Klitgaard report" states that women and minorities at top universities often do not perform as well academically as their high aptitude-test scores would predict, and it adds that Jewish students often do better academically than their scores would indicate...
...minorities, though, administrators and faculty predict a less bright future in tenured slots. No comparable boom to that of women exists in academic for minorities--only two minority students in the entire Harvard class of 1980 opted for graduate work in the arts and sciences. Administrators say the declining rate at which minorities seek academic employment could eventually force the University to step up its recruiting even more just to maintain its proportion of minority faculty, especially since competing universities are also expected to respond to smaller pools by intensifying their recruitment...
...recent study will have little impact in increasing the proportion of tenured women and minorities, many predict. Its emphasis on more aggressive recruiting will likely pay off with additional minority and women junior faculty, they say, but will have little impact on tenured appointments...
Professors like Zvi Griliches, chairman of the Economics Department, predict that some departments may take advantage of the special permission the report grants to departments with qualified minority or woman candidate but no opening--but say this opportunity will not raise dramatically the proportions of minority or women faculty. But Griliches does note that Economics is "in the process" of considering a woman for a tenure appointment--and depending how the department decides to define the post, it could become the first department to take advantage of the new opportunity provided by the study...