Word: predictabilities
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...corporate-car services and dry cleaners, rely on Wall Street companies and their employees for business. Bruconi says the general rule is that one job cut on Wall Street usually results in a reduction of a job and a half elsewhere in the N.Y.C. economy. All told, local economists predict that New York City could lose as many as 160,000 jobs...
Still, no matter what the agenda may be, conventions have a way of running away from the people who conceive them. Anne Feder Lee, an expert on the state constitution who opposes a ConCon, says it's impossible to predict what will happen if voters decide to have one. Feder Lee, a retired University of Hawaii West Oahu political science professor, says the original delegates to the 1968 ConCon had no idea what would result from their inaugural convention. They were supposed to fix a problem with reapportionment districts that dated to statehood in 1959. But they did not stop...
What shape would Obama take on the world stage? It's folly to predict. Events are moving too quickly. When Obama launched his campaign last year, the biggest issue in the world was Iraq. Now the public's interest - and U.S. involvement there - is dwindling almost by the day. Obama's bumper-sticker plan for Afghanistan - more troops to catch bin Laden - is being swallowed up in a befuddling tangle of intractable issues, ranging from the Afghan heroin trade to the instability of Kashmir. Foreign policy breeds surprises in American Presidents: Nixon went to China; Reagan proposed nuclear disarmament; Bush...
...opened near a planned mall that would have driven traffic, especially during the lunch hours. Now construction for the mall is on hold - if it opens at all. According to Julie, their highly conservative business plan projections are below forecast. For all the planning, she says "I couldn't predict the economy...
...This is a basic human idea that if things have equal probabilities, they have to even out in the short term as well as the long term, and this is the crux of the fallacy,” Barron said. In the study, the researchers had their subjects predict the color outcomes of a roulette wheel, where one group saw the past outcomes all at once, and a second group saw them revealed in real time. Barron and Leider found that the players who saw the outcomes in real time were much more likely to experience the fallacy because they...