Word: predictabilities
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...stranded, the next generation of Wall Street hopefuls began filing back to class this month at business schools across the country. The storied banking giant's demise was an illustrative lesson for the industry and for academics - one that may lead to lasting changes in business-school curriculums. "I predict that people will spend a lot more time than they used to learning about risk management and understanding the subtleties," says Awi Federgruen, chair of the Decision, Risk and Operations Division at Columbia Business School...
...With cabinet members loyal to Mbeki likely also to resign, analysts predict that parliament would most likely convene to elect a caretaker government until elections can be held next year. Some suggested that Zuma, who is not a member of parliament, would not serve in a transitional administration and would most likely assume power only after the elections. Although Mbeki has been a lame duck ever since Zuma wrested the ANC leadership from him at last December's party leadership conference, Saturday's move to accelerate Mbeki's ouster has raised fears of growing instability in Africa's largest economy...
...current revision to a reassessment of the malaria epidemic in Asia (although the vast majority of malaria cases and deaths still occur in Africa, where the numbers for the continent remain mostly unchanged). Much of the Asian data, which was used in the 2005 WHO report to predict which regions had malaria-carrying mosquitoes - and therefore higher disease incidence - was already 40 years old, says Mac Otten, coordinator of the surveillance, monitoring and evaluation unit at the WHO's Global Malaria Program. Over the past four decades, the situation across Asia has changed dramatically. "With urbanization, deforestation and then malaria...
Epidemiologists are often described by the media as "disease detectives," who use statistical tools - carrying out the occasional survey, for example, or, in the case of malaria, using temperature and terrain maps to help predict where disease-carrying mosquitoes may live - to hunt down and eliminate global killers. The comparison is useful for another reason: Disease trackers, like crime solvers, often spend a lot of time sifting through a few, imperfect clues - hunches, really - to piece together a fuller picture. But that picture often ends up being indistinct as well. The WHO says, for example, that the "confidence interval...
...card or walk past a security camera, they take note. Stephen Baker could have easily gone for spooky in this depiction of the Numerati--his term for the computer scientists and mathematicians who sort through all the data we throw off in our daily lives, helping corporations and governments predict (and manipulate) our next move. But Baker's deep reportage goes beyond smart shopping carts that entice us to run up our grocery bills and political messages crafted on our preference for Chianti. The Numerati are also behind the algorithms that drive matchmaking websites, the National Security Agency's work...